Introduction: Setting The Context Objectively
As we cross the midpoint of 2025, the global venture capital landscape remains defined by geopolitical headwinds and cautious monetary-policy pivots. The industry, globally, saw a bifurcated cycle as dollars under management edged up in H1 but transaction volumes sank to an eight-year low, down roughly 58% from H2 2024.

In parallel, the World Bank downgraded 2025 global GDP growth to 2.3%, its weakest since 2008, reflecting broad deceleration across advanced and emerging economies. Equity and M&A markets also felt the squeeze as global IPOs slipped 9% year-on-year to about $44 billion, while Q2’s U.S. tariff announcements and renewed geopolitical tensions rattled markets.
In spite of these macro headwinds, MENA’s VC activity remained stable. Notable observations include:
- Mega Rounds drove a 215% surge in large-ticket capital, anchored by Tabby’s $160 million Series F and Ninja’s $250 million Series C.
- Mid-Stage Momentum saw non-mega funding rise 69%, fuelled by a Series A peak of $323 million (matching 2022) and a tripling of Series B capital to $161 million.
- Sector Leadership: FinTech startups secured 39% of funding activity, underscoring the region’s digital-finance appeal.
- M&A transactions: 34 M&A transactions were recorded in MENA in H1, 183% YoY, driven by a record-breaking Q1 with 22 deals, the highest ever single quarter in the region.
Within MENA, the UAE VC ecosystem proved especially resilient, compared to the rest of the region over the past three years. In the first half of the year, UAE-based startups raised $448 million across 114 deals, driven by an uptick in Series A and B rounds.

When it comes to exit opportunities for investors, it’s worth nothing that the UAE drove M&A transactions in the region, with 13 deals recorded in H1, up 86% on H1 2024, and over 60% involving an international buyer.
The funds we’ve deployed into have raised over $1.65 billion to invest into startups, reflecting our continued dedication to empowering visionary fund managers and founders who are shaping the future in line with Dubai’s Economic Agenda D33.
How Do VC Fund Managers Feel About Where We’re At
The following points have been compiled based on our engagement with VC Fund managers, including a closed roundtable and survey shared with our Fund of Funds portfolio.
- Tariffs and Deal Behavior
Investors anticipate at least mild to moderate disruption from the U.S. “Liberation Day” tariffs, including higher supply-chain costs and slower growth in vulnerable segments such as manufacturing and semiconductors/hardware. Yet, rather than freeze underwriting, a majority remain active with heightened due-diligence filters and await clarity on policy trajectories.
It’s also worth noting that since the majority of venture capital investment is tech-focused, it remains relatively well-insulated from the immediate impact of trade-related headwinds.
- LP Sentiment and Risk Aversion
As LPs’ risk aversion increases, fund managers are being prompted to articulate clearer exit roadmaps and stronger downside protections. This may manifest in larger equity ownership stakes as GPs leverage their negotiating power in a more conservative capital environment.
Surveyed DFDF fund managers echoed this trend, with an average sentiment of 3.33 (out of 5) regarding their confidence in raising capital from LPs and GPs in the current environment, highlighting cautious optimism amidst macro headwinds.

- Fundraising & Exit Expectations
Sentiment around fundraising has become noticeably more guarded as falling interest rates and tariff stability emerge as the principal drivers of exit windows, underscoring once more how macro and trade policies underpin liquidity.
Notably, exit sentiment remains the weakest among surveyed GPs, with an average score of just 2.75, suggesting liquidity concerns persist despite a rebound in early-stage activity.
Conversely, confidence in startup growth (3.75) and deal pipeline (3.67) remains strong. This reinforces the UAE’s positive early-stage ventures sentiment, in line with the H1 activity datapoints we presented earlier in the article, even if exit pathways remain a perceived work in progress.
- Extended Fund Cycles & Secondary Markets
Despite a cautious outlook, the majority of GPs still plan to raise another fund within two years, yet a growing cohort is pushing out timelines to three to five years. Secondary markets are concurrently rising in prominence as alternative liquidity corridors, giving LPs optionality.
Outlook For The Rest Of 2025 For Fund Managers
Looking ahead, we anticipate the second half of 2025 present the following challenges and catalysts, which may impact VC Fund Managers in the UAE:
- Monetary Policy Inflection: If the Fed delivers rate cuts in the second half of 2025, growth-stage financings could accelerate, narrowing the funding gap between the first and second half of 2025.
- IPO & Secondary-Market Windows: Reforms on Nasdaq Dubai, ADX, and Tadawul dual-listing frameworks may unlock exit value for growth-stage companies.
- Sector Diversification: With the rise of AI, we expect to see other sectors begin to grow in popularity alongside FinTech amongst investors in the region.
- Evolving Capital Structure: Debt and credit facilities will be utilised more to fuel growth.
- Tilt toward scale-stage opportunities: Indicated by a surge in $5–20 million and $20+ million rounds, even as sovereign grants and accelerators continue to underpin early-stage innovation.
- Corporate and Enterprise Participation: Increasing appetite from corporates and enterprises to engage with VC portfolios to ensure they stay future-focused. Corporates are improving their start-up adoption readiness, assigning KPIs and dedicated teams with the right key decision-makers to oversee start-up evaluation and adoption for partnerships or purchasing. In addition, roadshows and upcoming events (such as North Star) are proving to be strong enablers in showcasing early-stage innovators to the market globally, encouraging greater corporate-startup collaboration.
What This Means for DFDF
As we chart into the second half of 2025, here are the learnings we are taking on to sharpen our investment playbook, fortify downside protections, and capitalize on the UAE’s most promising growth opportunities:
- Doing more with less using an integrated Tech infrastructure
We are building an integrated tech stack to ensure best in class governance, process optimization and data driven decision making as we look to engage more deeply with the GPs and startups in our direct and indirect portfolio. - Tracking Emerging Sector Momentum in The D33 Economic Agenda
FinTech remains the region’s magnet for capital, but through DFDF’s Fund of Funds lens, we see early signs of rotation into D33-aligned sectors such as AI-native PropTech, ClimateTech, LogisticsTech and HealthTech. By backing both pan-regional and hyper-specialist fund managers, DFDF is well positioned to capture these waves. - Fund Lifecycle Management
Anticipating extended fund cycles, we will pace follow-on commitments judiciously, retaining dry powder for the startups that demonstrate proven resilience and path-to-exit clarity. - Value Creation
We will continue to work with our portfolio companies to add value through key introductions both locally and internationally as we look to grow UAE companies globally.
Conclusion
While global economic headwinds and policy shifts continue to shape capital flows, the UAE’s ecosystem has shown that clear regulatory vision and proactive partnerships can sustain momentum even amid uncertainty.
Regional VC fund managers reflect optimism, as GPs remain active despite tariff-related pressures. As exit pathways remain complex, evolving capital structures are gaining importance.
Looking ahead, DFDF is sharpening its investment strategy by embracing integrated tech infrastructure, monitoring emerging D33-aligned sectors, pacing fund lifecycle commitments, and deepening its value creation efforts across the ecosystem.
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Sources
- SVB Commercial Bank — State of the Markets H2 2025
- World Bank Group — Globally Monthly June 2025
- Nasdaq — Global IPO Market Hits Nine-Year Low Amid Market Volatility, June 2025
- MAGNiTT — MENA Venture Capital H1 2025, July 2025